Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 636.584373 714.565075 801.145354 904.913001 1026.571228 1165.504014 1337.343800
2025-02-16 517.496267 619.716791 743.249019 905.565344 1116.300898 1385.027237 1760.924617
2025-02-23 462.317766 576.929404 723.249443 927.718427 1212.652616 1606.123707 2210.222970
2025-03-02 421.501511 543.432953 706.093448 945.178834 1298.838509 1822.233233 2696.275104
2025-03-09 384.423526 508.756086 680.627584 944.014834 1353.756040 1997.674000 3157.180459
2025-03-16 350.691535 474.204510 650.057512 929.196573 1382.660821 2133.934562 3582.431267
2025-03-23 329.805708 455.338680 639.283360 941.607494 1454.622280 2352.012795 4212.151331
2025-03-30 302.670064 424.513362 607.010827 915.130768 1456.180579 2444.683287 4619.456933
2025-04-06 279.863198 398.129039 578.816302 891.470706 1458.162889 2536.824573 5050.432567
2025-04-13 258.989885 372.999420 550.225293 863.605919 1447.904292 2602.157398 5439.238258
2025-04-20 250.801689 366.941655 551.543442 887.287014 1537.028622 2886.049648 6454.186225
2025-04-27 240.099903 355.976888 543.666735 893.356982 1592.328330 3108.895406 7397.287854
2025-05-04 230.382531 346.569362 538.708356 906.421006 1668.720853 3408.578416 8733.461061
2025-05-11 218.521966 332.867727 525.391591 902.591964 1710.279668 3640.093985 9998.951653
2025-05-18 211.911281 327.393762 525.840074 925.257857 1813.335834 4053.734676 12136.335973
2025-05-25 205.051420 320.926077 523.824970 942.577021 1907.368343 4472.388761 14605.513358
2025-06-01 196.266972 310.454158 513.515506 941.427856 1957.299836 4782.507453 16881.294098
2025-06-08 186.482734 297.564926 497.646022 926.660167 1971.163242 4990.166735 18873.548642
2025-06-15 180.799648 291.639938 494.490183 939.027752 2056.565068 5451.735038 22625.449274
2025-06-22 171.032114 277.705050 474.831665 912.643643 2035.356851 5555.067989 24496.787566
2025-06-29 162.306806 265.212514 457.167239 889.065734 2018.355540 5670.570225 26602.517164
2025-07-06 153.741517 252.579507 438.431118 861.296909 1985.754861 5722.915279 28387.646337
2025-07-13 151.155221 250.954661 441.571109 884.896505 2103.798970 6383.771711 35591.046321